Key aspects of India’s role in the new global geopolitics

India will never accept mediation, Modi tells Trump - The Hindu

The geopolitical landscape of the 21st century is experiencing rapid transformation, primarily driven by the rebalancing of power from the West to the East. Major global shifts highlight emerging economies, technological advancements, and strategic alliances that challenge the traditional order dominated by the United States and Western Europe. India, the world’s largest democracy and its most populous country as of 2023, stands at the epicenter of this transformation. Understanding India’s evolving role in new global geopolitics requires assessing its diplomatic strategies, economic growth, defense posture, and soft power outreach.

Diplomatic Engagement and Strategic Autonomy

One distinct feature of India’s international strategy is its quest for strategic autonomy. India makes a deliberate effort to refrain from exclusively associating with any major power group, advocating for a balanced stance in global alliances. This approach, which has its origins in the Non-Aligned Movement from the Cold War period, has been adapted to address modern-day issues.

The rise of QUAD (Quadrilateral Security Dialogue)—an informal strategic forum among India, the United States, Japan, and Australia—exemplifies India’s nuanced participation in multilateral frameworks. While QUAD is often viewed as a counterweight to China’s assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific, India has consistently advocated for an inclusive regional order rather than overt military alliances. The varying pace and focus of India’s engagement with QUAD, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, and BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) reflect its commitment to pragmatic diplomacy tailored to specific interests.

Throughout the Ukraine crisis, India adopted an approach of steering clear of explicit reproaches in the United Nations, focusing on ensuring energy security and maintaining diplomatic adaptability. This position, marked by abstentions and appeals for discussion, reflects India’s commitment to pursue its national interests while staying involved in constructing global consensus.

Economic Growth and Trade Dynamics

India’s influence in international geopolitics is closely linked to its economic comeback. By 2024, India ranks as the fifth-largest economy globally and is expected to climb to the third-largest by the decade’s close. With a Gross Domestic Product exceeding $3.5 trillion, India plays a crucial role in global economic growth, making a considerable contribution to the increase of the world’s GDP.

India’s active participation in initiatives like the G20 underscores its aspiration for a prominent voice in global economic governance. Hosting the G20 Summit in 2023 not only elevated India’s status on the world stage but also reinforced its role as a bridge between developed and developing economies. India’s push for reforms in global institutions—such as the International Monetary Fund and the United Nations Security Council—exemplifies its commitment to a more equitable international order that reflects contemporary economic realities.

Diversifying trade is a key element of India’s strategy in global politics. The nation’s adjusted stance on free trade agreements, highlighted by new deals with Australia and the United Arab Emirates, demonstrates willingness to engage with international markets while protecting national interests. At the same time, India’s incentives tied to production and focus on manufacturing seek to lessen reliance on specific regions and strengthen defense against disruptions in supply chains.

Defense Modernization and Security Partnerships

Geopolitical challenges in Asia, particularly with China and Pakistan, have motivated India to upgrade its defense capabilities and strengthen security partnerships. India ranks high among the world’s top defense spenders, with its defense budget surpassing $70 billion in 2023. The nation is investing in local missile programs, expanding its navy, and advancing its fighter jet fleet, showcasing its goal to achieve strategic deterrence and independent operational capabilities.

India’s geographic position across vital sea lanes in the Indian Ocean has furthered its maritime security profile. Initiatives like the Indian Ocean Naval Symposium and bilateral exercises with navies from France, the United Kingdom, the United States, and ASEAN partners underscore India’s commitment to freedom of navigation and regional stability. Moreover, the country’s active participation in United Nations peacekeeping missions enhances its stature as a responsible contributor to global peace and security.

Nevertheless, India’s defense strategy is fundamentally based on strategic restraint, aiming to prevent escalation despite provocations, as demonstrated during the 2020-21 border standoff with China in Ladakh. While maintaining strong defense readiness, India also engages in diplomatic conversations to handle conflicts and reduce tensions.

Advancements in Technology and Digital Diplomacy

India’s shift towards digitalization and its increasing technological capacity have become essential components of its geopolitical approach. As the world’s third-largest startup ecosystem, featuring prominent unicorns in financial technology, healthcare technology, and educational technology, India’s innovative economy serves as a source of cultural influence and global reach.

The introduction of the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) has established India as a worldwide leader in digital financial inclusion, encouraging various nations in Africa and Southeast Asia to adopt or replicate the model. India’s effort to offer digital public goods to allied nations—referred to by Prime Minister Narendra Modi as “Digital Public Infrastructure for the Global South”—enhances its diplomatic relationships with developing economies and promotes South-South collaboration.

Participation in the semiconductor supply chain initiative, collaborations on climate technology, and investments in space exploration (highlighted by Chandrayaan-3’s lunar landing) have further showcased India’s aspirations to be a technology provider rather than a mere technology consumer.

Soft Power, Culture, and Diaspora

In addition to its strong military and economic presence, India effectively utilizes its significant cultural influence through diplomatic efforts and global networks of its diaspora. Bollywood, yoga, culinary diversity, and literary works are powerful means that affect worldwide views about India. The International Day of Yoga, commemorated globally each year since 2015 due to India’s efforts, exemplifies its accomplishments in cultural outreach.

The Indian diaspora, which is believed to exceed 32 million people, plays a significant role as a “third pillar” in India’s foreign affairs strategy. Skilled experts, notably in areas like Silicon Valley and Europe, enhance India’s reputation as a leader in innovation while serving as connectors for both economic and diplomatic relations. Proactive engagement during emergencies, such as extensive consular assistance for Indian nationals in Ukraine and Sudan, strengthens the confidence between the nation and its international population.

Obstacles, Limitations, and Tactical Assessments

Although India’s prominence is growing, the nation faces significant obstacles that limit its international aspirations. These challenges involve intricate ties with China and Pakistan, ongoing border conflicts, and the instability of nearby political landscapes, particularly in Afghanistan, Myanmar, and Sri Lanka.

Socioeconomic disparities, environmental stress, and infrastructural gaps pose internal constraints that could slow India’s pace of global ascendancy. Furthermore, navigating the delicate balance between competing great powers—the United States, China, Russia, and the European Union—requires diplomatic dexterity. The tendency of external actors to pressure India into choosing sides, particularly during episodes involving Russia or economic competition with China, tests India’s resolve for nonalignment.

In the midst of these challenges, India’s capacity to implement significant global change relies on effectively aligning its domestic development goals with a flexible and internationally-focused foreign policy.

The evolving landscape of world geopolitics has transformed India from being a passive player to a powerful entity capable of influencing regional and global matters. By utilizing strategic independence, economic vitality, military advancements, and extensive cultural influence, India maneuvers through a multifaceted international environment filled with unpredictability and potential. While its ascent faces numerous obstacles, it aligns internal changes with active global involvement, placing India squarely among the key designers of the new global order.

By Penelope Peterson